Politics

Philippines’ dollar reserves jump to $108.8 billion at end-September

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US dollar bills are seen on a light table at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington in this Nov. 14, 2014 file photo. — REUTERS

THE PHILIPPINES’ dollar reserves rose to its highest in 11 months at end-September, driven by higher global gold prices, earnings from the central bank’s investments and the National Government’s foreign currency deposits.

Preliminary data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed that gross international reserves (GIR) reached $108.805 billion as of end-September, up 1.6% from $107.098 billion in August.

This was the highest GIR level in nearly a year or since the $111.084 billion seen in October 2024.

However, it was 3.5% lower than $112.707 billion in September last year.

“The Philippines’ gross international reserves rose in September 2025 due to higher global gold prices, income from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ investments, and foreign currency deposits by the National Government with the BSP,” the BSP said in a statement.

Dollar reserves are the central bank’s foreign assets held mostly as investments in foreign-issued securities, foreign exchange and monetary gold, among others.

These are supplemented by claims to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the form of reserve position in the fund and special drawing rights (SDRs).

BSP data showed the level of dollar reserves in the nine-month period is enough to cover about 3.6 times the country’s short-term external debt based on residual maturity.

It is also equivalent to 7.3 months’ worth of imports of goods and payments of services and primary income, well above the three-month standard.

“The latest GIR level provides a robust external liquidity buffer,” the central bank said in a statement.

Ample foreign exchange buffers protect the country from market volatility and ensure that it is capable of paying its debts in the event of an economic downturn.

The BSP’s foreign investments inched up by 0.3% to $87.243 billion as of end-September from $86.987 billion in the previous month. However, it went down by 8.4% from $95.199 billion in the same period a year ago.

Central bank data also showed that its gold holdings were valued at $16.385 billion, jumping by 12.8% from the $14.523 billion seen at end-August and by 50.9% from $10.86 billion last year.

Meanwhile, foreign exchange holdings slumped by 44.9% to $505.1 million in September from $916.1 million in August and by 75.3% from $2.042 billion a year earlier.

The Philippines’ reserve position in the IMF edged up by 0.2% to $737.7 million at end-September from $736.4 million in August. It climbed by 0.9% from $731.1 million in September 2024.

SDRs — or the amount the Philippines can tap from the IMF’s reserve currency basket — were unchanged month on month at $3.935 billion. Year on year, it was 1.5% higher than $3.875 billion.

The BSP also reported that net international reserves inched up by 1.6% to $108.8 billion as of end-September from $107.1 billion as of end-August.

Net international reserves refer to the difference between the BSP’s reserve assets (GIR) and reserve liabilities, including short-term foreign debt, and credit and loans from the IMF.

“This GIR uptrend appears to be above expectations as the end-September GIR already exceeds the BSP’s year-end target of $105 (billion),” Security Bank Corp. Chief Economist Angelo B. Taningco said in an e-mail.

However, Mr. Taningco noted that a weakening peso could pose risks to the country’s dollar reserves in the coming months.

“Potential risks on GIR in upcoming months include persistent peso depreciation pressures induced by foreign capital outflows and higher (United States) Treasury yields,” he said.

At end-September, the local currency closed at P58.196 per US dollar, falling by P1.066 from its P57.13 finish on Aug. 29.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort also noted a $411-million month-on-month decline in the central bank’s foreign exchange holdings amid the foreign exchange market volatility and “political noises.”

Earlier this month, the BSP revised its GIR projection for this year to $105 billion, slightly higher than its previous forecast of $104 billion. In 2026, it expects GIR to reach $106 billion. — Katherine K. Chan